Sensex Surges 571 Points as India-US Trade Deal Hopes Fuel Rally

Indian markets rally as Sensex and Nifty climb on India-US trade deal hopes, despite crude oil price pressures and the Jio IPO launch.

Ravi Pandey21 October 20263 min read1 viewBusiness
Sensex Surges 571 Points as India-US Trade Deal Hopes Fuel Rally

The Indian equity markets started Wednesday on a bullish note, with the India-US trade deal optimism driving a significant jump in the benchmark indices. Investors reacted positively to the prospects of a trade agreement between the two nations, pushing the BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 firmly into the green during early trade.

The BSE Sensex climbed by 570.89 points, or 0.77 per cent, to trade at 74,423.79. Similarly, the Nifty 50 saw a rise of 167.35 points, or 0.73 per cent, reaching 23,055.70. The Sensex opened at 74,337.93 compared to its previous close of 73,852.90, while the Nifty 50 opened at 23,016.00 against its previous close of 22,888.95.

Market Headwinds: Crude Oil and Bond Yields

Despite the initial surge, the market sentiment remains cautious. The rally is being countered by external pressures, specifically the rising cost of crude oil and elevated US bond yields. Brent crude was trading at USD 110.34 per barrel, marking an increase of 1.43 per cent, which typically weighs on the Indian economy.

Global cues were mixed, with US equity futures showing a varied trend:

  • S&P 500 futures: Up 0.28 per cent
  • Dow Jones futures: Up 0.05 per cent
  • Nasdaq futures: Down 0.02 per cent

The Jio IPO and Earnings Season

Adding to the market excitement is the launch of the highly anticipated Jio IPO, which opens for subscription to retail investors today. Market participants are closely monitoring this offering alongside the ongoing second-quarter earnings season, which is providing critical data on corporate health.

Dr V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Limited, noted that while a "sell on rally" trend might persist due to crude prices, the market is being supported by strong domestic liquidity, fair valuations of large-cap stocks, and improving earnings growth.

"Despite the external headwinds, this is a stock picker’s market now," said Dr Vijayakumar, suggesting that movements are becoming increasingly sensitive to individual company earnings.

Sectoral Performance and Key Movers

The rally was led predominantly by the IT sector. The Nifty IT index surged by 2.03 per cent, followed by Nifty PSU Bank (up 0.74 per cent) and Nifty Metal (up 0.70 per cent). In contrast, the Nifty Media index was the sole major laggard, slipping 0.15 per cent.

Top Gainers and Losers

Among the Nifty 50 companies, the tech giants led the charge:

  • Infosys: Rose 2.47 per cent
  • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS): Up 2.08 per cent
  • UltraTech Cement: Gained 1.96 per cent

On the flip side, the financial sector saw some declines, with Bajaj Finance emerging as the biggest loser, dropping 2.32 per cent, while Bajaj Finserv fell 0.49 per cent.

Technical Outlook

Market analyst Vipin Dixena highlighted key technical levels for the Nifty, stating that the immediate resistance zone lies between 23,000 and 23,100. On the downside, the 22,800–22,700 range serves as an important support area. Moving forward, investors are expected to keep a close watch on Q2 earnings, fluctuations in crude oil prices, and further developments regarding the proposed trade deal with the US.

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