Sensex Surges 905 Points: Fed Rate Pause Sparks Market Rally

Indian stock markets rally as the US Fed keeps rates unchanged. Sensex jumps 905 points while Nifty 50 closes higher amid institutional buying.

Ravi Pandey29 October 20263 min read1 viewBusiness
Sensex Surges 905 Points: Fed Rate Pause Sparks Market Rally

The Indian stock market witnessed a powerful rally on Thursday, with the Sensex Nifty rally driven by a wave of optimism following the US Federal Reserve's decision to maintain current interest rates. This move, combined with a slight dip in crude oil prices and a return of institutional buyers, significantly boosted investor confidence across the board.

The BSE Sensex closed the day at 74,151.04, marking a substantial leap of 905.01 points, or 1.24 per cent. Similarly, the Nifty 50 index ended at 22,936.75, gaining 237.90 points, which translates to a 1.05 per cent increase.

What Fueled the Surge?

According to Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments, the rally was a result of improved risk appetite. Despite a difficult external environment, the decision by the US Fed to pause rate hikes provided the necessary catalyst for the markets to climb.

The market breadth appeared healthy, as the rally wasn't limited to just the giants. While large-cap stocks led the way, mid-cap and small-cap stocks also participated in the gains. Furthermore, a combination of foreign institutional buying and steady support from domestic institutions enhanced overall market liquidity.

Sectoral Performance: Winners and Losers

Almost every sectoral index on the National Stock Exchange ended in the green, with the sole exception being Nifty Auto. The highlights include:

  • Nifty FMCG: The star performer, jumping 2.5 per cent due to resilient consumer demand.
  • Nifty Realty: Surged by more than 2 per cent.
  • Nifty Private Bank: Climbed 1.98 per cent.
  • Nifty PSU Bank: Gained 1.9 per cent.
  • Nifty Media: Rose 1.2 per cent.
  • Nifty IT: Increased by 1 per cent.
  • Nifty Metal: Advanced 0.66 per cent.
  • Nifty Pharma: Rose 0.48 per cent.

In terms of individual stocks, the top gainers among the Nifty 50 were Adani Ports, Adani Enterprises, Power Grid, Kotak Bank, and Eternal. On the flip side, stocks like Trent, Maruti, SBI Life, Bajaj Auto, and Hindalco ended the day in the red.

The Rupee and Commodity Watch

Despite the euphoria in the equity markets, the currency and commodity markets told a more cautious story. Rajeev Sharan, Head of Research at Brickwork Ratings, noted that any relief for the rupee was fleeting. Though it opened stronger at 95.17, it quickly slid to a two-week low near 95.37 by the afternoon.

Sharan pointed out that the demand for the US dollar and high oil prices continued to exert pressure on the rupee, outweighing the positive sentiment from the Fed's decision. Investors are now closely watching the next US inflation reading for further direction.

Commodity Prices at a Glance:

  • Brent Crude: Remained elevated, trading at USD 114.64 per barrel.
  • Gold: Declined by 0.38 per cent to Rs 1,43,166 per 10 grams (24 karats).
  • Silver: Fell 1.36 per cent to Rs 1,91,686 per kg.

Global Context and Future Risks

While India saw a strong green day, Asian markets presented a mixed bag. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.97 per cent and Singapore's Straits Times saw a marginal gain of 0.05 per cent. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.78 per cent, Taiwan's weighted index dropped 1.44 per cent, and South Korea's KOSPI declined 1.26 per cent.

Looking ahead, analysts warn that several risks remain on the horizon. High crude oil prices, the weakness of the rupee, rising domestic bond yields, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties could potentially test corporate profit margins and dampen future gains.

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